Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 50.786600 58.348765 66.143785 74.743234 83.929536 93.416990 103.924535
2025-12-14 38.887329 49.523036 61.066028 74.372722 89.149068 104.929307 122.935267
2025-12-21 30.900725 42.904052 56.484055 72.666248 91.137669 111.316206 134.790845
2025-12-28 27.493311 40.909171 56.584206 75.723658 97.999528 122.713086 151.834838
2026-01-04 24.109745 38.446210 55.729561 77.316387 102.883599 131.635074 165.889741
2026-01-11 20.352273 35.058423 53.398004 76.847331 105.110837 137.317387 176.095120
2026-01-18 17.215122 32.103634 51.307215 76.415182 107.170115 142.635367 185.736703
2026-01-25 14.903651 29.994969 50.080486 76.869185 110.144762 148.906233 196.381813
2026-02-01 12.512419 27.486595 48.122889 76.235123 111.663681 153.358394 204.826199
2026-02-08 10.639007 25.511730 46.709841 76.158538 113.757912 158.410009 213.904051
2026-02-15 8.763439 23.281269 44.772102 75.263317 114.728563 162.035348 221.235707
2026-02-22 7.654848 22.157231 44.290444 76.208786 117.948537 168.329062 231.696011
2026-03-01 6.737692 21.263029 44.099677 77.539933 121.685798 175.306188 243.056034
2026-03-08 5.413741 19.416583 42.378853 76.709160 122.603284 178.807119 250.241547
2026-03-15 4.116681 17.344930 40.150094 75.052936 122.359131 180.806904 255.561225
2026-03-22 3.892228 17.472228 41.328571 78.150504 128.301797 190.456892 270.126350
2026-03-29 3.426551 16.982243 41.483105 79.773878 132.296645 197.682045 281.754540
2026-04-05 2.682048 15.666355 40.209683 79.296123 133.476735 201.368845 289.062610
2026-04-12 2.057280 14.453068 39.009154 78.856461 134.659634 205.025765 296.309733
2026-04-19 1.637897 13.657893 38.454194 79.318430 137.020284 210.146348 305.336669
2026-04-26 1.171075 12.509668 37.192800 78.673219 137.846559 213.298562 311.926302
2026-05-03 0.841309 11.632669 36.341980 78.595284 139.409884 217.364777 319.627039
2026-05-10 0.523042 10.533311 34.984425 77.684241 139.790445 219.892179 325.403842